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Cowboy Corner Betting Information – Week 10

November 12, 2009 by Guest Contributor

Do I control NFL odds for the Dallas Cowboys? Seems they win whenever I pick them to lose and lose whenever I pick them to win. Well, folks, I may or may not have bad news. I like Dallas’ chances to beat the Packers this week. Is that a good thing?

Week 10

DALLAS COWBOYS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

Sunday, November 15, 4:15 p.m. ET

Favorite: Cowboys -3

Cowboys offense vs Packers defense

Tony Romo and company shouldn’t expect a total offensive cakewalk this week. The good news is that Green Bay struggles mightily to pressure the quarterback; the Pack have 13 sacks, good for last in the NFC. The bad news is that they’re still a big-play defense. They rank fourth in the NFL with 12 interceptions and have scored two defensive touchdowns. Historically, Tony Romo gets worse as an NFL season progresses and the weather gets colder. He therefore could make a few mistakes at Lambeau Field on the tundra.

Thankfully for Romo, his rapport with Miles Austin continues to grow. Austin overcame double teams against the Eagles last week for another 40-plus-yard touchdown. Since the Pack are also solid against the run, however, the Cowboys may not score big points this week. Remember that if you like betting on totals with your NFL picks.

Cowboys defense vs Packers offense

Here’s where the Cowboys will win the game. The Cowboys “D” started slowly this season but is really rounding into form of late – especially the pass rush, which led the NFL in sacks last year. The Cowboys sacked Donovan McNabb four times last week. If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers can sack Aaron Rodgers six times, which they did last week, you know Green Bay has major O-line woes. The Packer linemen are revolving doors, allowing an NFL-worst 37 sacks this season. The Pack’s franchise worst for sacks allowed is 62; they’re on pace to allow 74 this season. Making matters worse, Aaron Rodgers holds onto the ball too long even when he has time. He’s having a phenomenal year but isn’t taking many shots downfield. Sportsbook betting fans should expect the improving Cowboy pass rush to have an absolute field day against poor Rodgers.

Outlook

The Cowboys are gaining serious momentum in the NFC playoff picture and, even though they have another tough road game this week, the matchup is favorable. They should ride their “D” to another win in a potentially low-scoring matchup. The Pack will look like the loser of Pacquiao Cotto betting in the end: battered and bruised.

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